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Wednesday, March 29, 2006

VAT's Enough

Bruce Bartlett at the New York Times has a very interesting article concerning our enormous deficit and how we might combat it. (user/pass=syntaxbad/optimate - The article requires the NY Times lame "Times Select" access, so I am temporarily providing my account info for your use - I will be changing my password again in a few days, for security reasons, so read/save the article while you have the chance) Surprisingly (considering his conservative demeanor) he suggests increased taxes as the solution to our budget woes.
His argument, in brief, is that all of the traditional target areas of spending cuts, viz. the military spending, Medicare, social security, pork, etc are either too small to make a difference, or extremely impractical to cut. As he sees it "every major deficit reduction effort of the last 25 years has relied mainly on higher revenues", be they from a booming economy or actual tax increases. By his reasoning, we need an increase in revenues of 10% of GDP per year over the next generation in order to keep the deficit from getting out of control.
According to the CBO, letting the Bush Tax Cuts expire in 2010 would only get us a little over 1% of GDP worth of increased revenues. We would have to nearly double both the corporate and income tax rates to attain the levels of revenue he claims we require. Clearly this is impossible and so Bartlett suggests the introduction of a Value Added Tax (VAT). VATs (also known as Consumption Taxes) are found in most of the rest of the industrialized world ranging from 5% in Japan to 25% in Sweden, although, to my knowledge, we have never had one here. As Bartlett puts it:
"The V.A.T. is a kind of sales tax embedded in the price of goods. A farmer who grows wheat, for example, pays, say, 10 percent on the sale. The miller buys the wheat (with the tax indicated on the invoice), makes flour, and when that is sold, he also pays 10 percent, but gets a credit for the taxes the farmer paid. The baker who makes bread from the flour also pays 10 percent when he sells to the food store, but gets credit for the taxes paid by the farmer and the miller. Since taxes must be paid in order to claim credits for the taxes embedded in the bread at earlier stages of production, the tax is largely self-enforcing."
Bartlett recokons that a 10% VAT in the US would net us about $500 billion a year, which should be sufficient to deal with the spiraling budget deficit in the coming years. The idea has some appeal to me, but obviously one must buy the argument that reductions in spending are only likely to go so far. What do you all think?

3 Comments:

Blogger Pascals Bookie said...

Everything in America is too cheap anyway, which is really, at the end of the line, the root cause for most of our foreign and domestic troubles. So Double-True for the V.A.T.!

29 March, 2006 12:58  
Blogger Joshua said...

Okay, I have to know, Cato. Why is the government taking nearly half your bonus? Which tax and bracket is this? Or is this the combination of Federal, State, County, City, and all the rest? Here in New Hampshire, the government - through federal income tax - takes about 10% of my income, at the end of the day. Is NYC's tax structure really that nuts in comparison?

29 March, 2006 19:42  
Blogger Pascals Bookie said...

Cato, first, I agree with the flat tax, for the most part, except that so much of our governing needs to take place through the tax code. It's a corporate culture, and that's te part of law that concerns corporations.

As per your question, I'll give the short answer now, and the long answer when I have time (or maybe in person.)

Ultra-cheap goods in America have led to a culture of ludicrous overconsumption. Overconsumption demands overproduction, which in turn requires overreliance on foreign and domestic resources. As we see way too often recently, overreliance leads to war when one of our suppliers has the gall to claim that their resources are their own, and not, in fact, ours. There's much more to it, of course, and many more problems other than war, but the base of it is this: our culture now sees greed as not only an entitlement, but a righteous goal. Much, if not most of the country believe this greed to be ordained by Christ himself. We don't need nearly all the crap that we've got. I don't. You don't. All we're doing is draining resources and stunting our own economy by thinking, "well, I'm rich so I'm right." That thinking isn't going to change quickly, if at all, but things, from oil to textiles to construction, should cost more in the U.S., and the best way to do that is with a V.A.T. that can provide for those below the poverty line that can't provide for themselves because there are so many of us pigs at the traugh thinking we're entitled to all we can grab.

30 March, 2006 02:05  

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